Posts Tagged System Dynamics

2nd Asia-Pacific Region System Dynamics Conference

APSDC 2017 The 2nd Asia-Pacific Region System Dynamics Conference of the System Dynamics Society were held at UTown, National University of Singapore. The theme for this conference is Charting a Path to a Humane and Sustainable Future: Asia’s Leadership Role. The conference brought together various disciplines that have been using Systems Thinking, System Dynamics and Systems Engineering approach in understanding and solving problems. The conference seeks to popularize and extend systems thinking and System Dynamics modelling in the Asia-Pacific Region by facilitating interactions between practitioners from the region and around the world, introducing newcomers to the field, and keeping practitioners aware of current developments.

It brought together so many practitioners in the regions, including group of Indonesian SD practitioners. We hope that in the future, we could establish an Indonesia Chapter of System Dynamics, since currently Indonesia falls into the Australasian Chapters and newly established ASEAN Chapter.

SEMS Lab presented 2 papers in this event that falls in the strategy group of papers.

These are the excerpt of the papers presented by SEMS Lab

1. System Dynamics Approach in Managing Turnover Problem in Profesional Service Firms

Authors: Arry Destyanto, Armand Moeis, Akhmad Hidayatno, Mohammad Rizky Nur Iman

Talented human resources is one of the key factors in a firm’s success to maintain its competitive advantage in the global era. The rising trend of turnover is causing firms to rethink their strategy in maintaining their talented human resource. This issue challenges firms especially that rely on talented human resource such as professional service firms. Turnover has direct and indirect negative impact for firms. Previous researches had been conducted research to understand the underlying problem that causes turnover, and the strategy to overcome it. This research calls for a modeling structure of the turnover phenomena using a system dynamics approach, which can also be used to simulate various strategy. The output of the model is a recommendation of strategy that is most effective and has the best return on investment for organization. The results of simulation study will be discussed at the end of the paper.

APSDC 2017  (2)

2. Scenario Planning using System Dynamics for Reducing Uncertainty on Managing Employee Turnover

Authors: Akhmad Hidayatno, Arry Destyanto, Armand Moeis, Mohammad Rizky Nur Iman

In order to maintain the competitiveness of an organization in the global competition era, the presence of qualified human resources has become one of the key factors. Unlike product quality, qualified human resources have the capacity and talents that are not easy to replicate. Therefore, researchers and practitioners have been looking for the best strategy to manage turnover in an organization. However, the problem with turnover is that it has become more dynamic and changes along time, causing for uncertainties in the impact of the strategy implemented. This research will show how ‘scenario planning’ is used in a system dynamics model to minimize the level of uncertainties. The scenarios generated are not limited to the changes in assumptions, but also includes alternatives of trends that may happen in the future (plausible scenario). This paper focuses on discussing the process of generating and testing the plausible scenarios to the model. The implication of the scenarios is also compared to the initial output of the model.

APSDC 2017  (3)

 

 

, ,

No Comments

Introductory SD Workshop on Modeling Fiscal Policy for Sustainable Development

SEMS in collaboration with PT Makara Mas (Holding Company of Universitas Indonesia) conducted an introductory system dynamics workshop on modeling sustainable development for Fiscal Policy Agency – Ministry of Finance, Government of Indonesia. The workshop was part of Low Carbon Support, provided by the United Kingdom (UK) for the Ministry of Finance, especially the Centre for Climate Change Financing and Multilateral Policy (PKPPIM) in the Fiscal Policy Agency. PKPPIM are tasked to recommend a low carbon fiscal policies especially starting from the national budget 2015. This is why they needed a more integrated modeling tool to be able to evaluate green fiscal policy impacts.

FPA has already a strong group of economic models that are based on IO Models, SAM, and CGE, however since the questions of green policy is multi-dimensions with multi-sectoral approach, they feel that they need to have a more adaptive model to answer these questions.

The workshop was conducted for 5 days in the 2nd week of February, ranging from the basics of systems thinking and system dynamics, group dynamics, simple model building and closed by discussion on future models development of a new “green fiscal policy” model.

, , ,

No Comments

Modeling Inclusive Green Economy, Bergen, Norway

Pak Akhmad was invited to become one of the speakers in the international workshop on Modeling Inclusive Green Economies, which jointly conducted by United Nations Environmental Protection (UNEP) University of Bergen (UiB), and the Millennium Institute. This workshop is part of PAGE initiatives that was formulated to follow on RIO+20. The partnership for Action on Green Economy (PAGE)  drives a multi-stakeholder and participatory approach to create inclusive, sustainable societies. PAGE is driven by a collaboration of UN institutions regarding inclusive green economy between UNEP, International Labor Organization (ILO), United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), United Nations Institute for Training and Research (UNITAR)

The two-days seminar discuss about different modeling approach on inclusive green economy, such as IO model, CGE Models, ILO Models for defining Green Jobs, Spatial Modeling, Bio-Physical Modeling and of course System Dynamics, which primarily focus on the T21 Model developed by the Millennium Institute. It also discuss about country case studies from Africa, South America and Asia. For Asia, the representatives are from Indonesia, Thailand and China. The workshop was held in the Universitetet i Bergen, 7-8 May 2013.

Mr Akhmad presentation on the modeling of REDD+ Impacts on the Palm-oil based Biodiesel Industry in Indonesia sparked interest and many questions from the audiences at the final session of day 1. REDD+ in Indonesia is partially supported by the Norwegian government and palm oil plantation in Indonesia is considered one of the main reasons for deforestation, therefore the topics was very well accepted.

No Comments

SEMS at ABM International Workshop 2013 by SBM ITB & UKP4


SBM ITB with UKP4 (Presidential Working Unit for Supervision and Management of Development) organized International Workshop on Agent Based Modeling for Policy Development following last year successful event. This year Pak Akhmad Hidayatno was invited to present one SEMS Lab research study conducted in Agent Based Modeling regarding Pedestrian Movement. The research case study was conducted with the support of PT Mass Rapid Transit Jakarta (MRT Jakarta) to evaluate the feasibility of their current underground station design based on pedestrian movement flow. Underground stations are much more expensive the their on-land or elevated stations. Therefore, any design changes during construction could be costly.
Read the rest of this entry »

, , ,

No Comments

Presentation of System Dynamics class 2012

Final test of system dynamics class 2012 presentation is conducted today with each participants presenting their assignment of rebuilding model from the collections of paper from SD Conferences.

image

Using the interactive smart board, the presentation runs smoothly and could create an interactive discussion by changing model’s variable directly from the board.
image

Congratulations for all participants for a job well done.

,

No Comments

0