Archive for category Continuous Event Modeling

2nd Asia-Pacific Region System Dynamics Conference

APSDC 2017 The 2nd Asia-Pacific Region System Dynamics Conference of the System Dynamics Society were held at UTown, National University of Singapore. The theme for this conference is Charting a Path to a Humane and Sustainable Future: Asia’s Leadership Role. The conference brought together various disciplines that have been using Systems Thinking, System Dynamics and Systems Engineering approach in understanding and solving problems. The conference seeks to popularize and extend systems thinking and System Dynamics modelling in the Asia-Pacific Region by facilitating interactions between practitioners from the region and around the world, introducing newcomers to the field, and keeping practitioners aware of current developments.

It brought together so many practitioners in the regions, including group of Indonesian SD practitioners. We hope that in the future, we could establish an Indonesia Chapter of System Dynamics, since currently Indonesia falls into the Australasian Chapters and newly established ASEAN Chapter.

SEMS Lab presented 2 papers in this event that falls in the strategy group of papers.

These are the excerpt of the papers presented by SEMS Lab

1. System Dynamics Approach in Managing Turnover Problem in Profesional Service Firms

Authors: Arry Destyanto, Armand Moeis, Akhmad Hidayatno, Mohammad Rizky Nur Iman

Talented human resources is one of the key factors in a firm’s success to maintain its competitive advantage in the global era. The rising trend of turnover is causing firms to rethink their strategy in maintaining their talented human resource. This issue challenges firms especially that rely on talented human resource such as professional service firms. Turnover has direct and indirect negative impact for firms. Previous researches had been conducted research to understand the underlying problem that causes turnover, and the strategy to overcome it. This research calls for a modeling structure of the turnover phenomena using a system dynamics approach, which can also be used to simulate various strategy. The output of the model is a recommendation of strategy that is most effective and has the best return on investment for organization. The results of simulation study will be discussed at the end of the paper.

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2. Scenario Planning using System Dynamics for Reducing Uncertainty on Managing Employee Turnover

Authors: Akhmad Hidayatno, Arry Destyanto, Armand Moeis, Mohammad Rizky Nur Iman

In order to maintain the competitiveness of an organization in the global competition era, the presence of qualified human resources has become one of the key factors. Unlike product quality, qualified human resources have the capacity and talents that are not easy to replicate. Therefore, researchers and practitioners have been looking for the best strategy to manage turnover in an organization. However, the problem with turnover is that it has become more dynamic and changes along time, causing for uncertainties in the impact of the strategy implemented. This research will show how ‘scenario planning’ is used in a system dynamics model to minimize the level of uncertainties. The scenarios generated are not limited to the changes in assumptions, but also includes alternatives of trends that may happen in the future (plausible scenario). This paper focuses on discussing the process of generating and testing the plausible scenarios to the model. The implication of the scenarios is also compared to the initial output of the model.

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Introductory SD Workshop on Modeling Fiscal Policy for Sustainable Development

SEMS in collaboration with PT Makara Mas (Holding Company of Universitas Indonesia) conducted an introductory system dynamics workshop on modeling sustainable development for Fiscal Policy Agency – Ministry of Finance, Government of Indonesia. The workshop was part of Low Carbon Support, provided by the United Kingdom (UK) for the Ministry of Finance, especially the Centre for Climate Change Financing and Multilateral Policy (PKPPIM) in the Fiscal Policy Agency. PKPPIM are tasked to recommend a low carbon fiscal policies especially starting from the national budget 2015. This is why they needed a more integrated modeling tool to be able to evaluate green fiscal policy impacts.

FPA has already a strong group of economic models that are based on IO Models, SAM, and CGE, however since the questions of green policy is multi-dimensions with multi-sectoral approach, they feel that they need to have a more adaptive model to answer these questions.

The workshop was conducted for 5 days in the 2nd week of February, ranging from the basics of systems thinking and system dynamics, group dynamics, simple model building and closed by discussion on future models development of a new “green fiscal policy” model.

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National Energy Council Workshop on SD

SEMS Laboratory is developing a model to evaluate the energy impact on land transportation strategy for the Dewan Energi Nasional (DEN – National Energy Council). The model is based on System Dynamics, therefore we kick off the model development by conducting an introductory one-day workshop on System Dynamics Modeling.

Our researcher, Aziiz Sutrisno, lead the workshop aims to give a foundation for the council’s expert to understand the SD “engine” of the model.

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An Indonesian System Thinking Book

Mr. Akhmad Hidayatno has published a book title Systems Thinking: A Way of Thinking for a Better Understanding of Complex Problems, In Indonesian. The primary book purpose is to introduce the systems approach thinking to local communities, because not many book on systems thinking were publish in Indonesian.

Buku Akhmad Hidayatno

The book consist of 8 chapter that covers from systems definition, thinking definition, systems thinking, mental models, problem solving with systems thinking, and quantitative support for system thinking. A special chapter also discuss about how to teach system thinking based on the author experience in facilitating “Systems Thinking” mandatory course in Industrial Engineering Master Program. When asked to explains about the book, Pak Akhmad explains:

“In this Indonesian Language books, I introduce a new definition of Systems Thinking that is based on the combination of DeBono Thinking Concepts to Properties of System. A new unique nickname of “De BATIk” served as a memory jogger for the properties of system: multi-dimentions, boundaries, goals, holistic (emergent properties) and interconnections. As you probably know, Batik is a traditional design pattern of clothes in Indonesia, recognized by UNESCO. System thinking means asking groups of questions using De BATIk to improve our understanding of system.

Based on these two combination, I also proposed a 5 steps of problem solving using system thinking.”

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SEMS Researchers Team at QiR Seminar

Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Indonesia organized the 13th International Conference on Quality in Research (QiR) 2013, following the previous successful conference in Bali in 2011. The bi-annual International Seminar are open for all Engineering Disciplines, including Industrial Engineering. The selected theme for this year conference is “Exploring Innovation for Enhancement of Human Life and Environment”. Under this theme the conference focuses on the innovative contributions in science, engineering and design as well as their market perspectives to the existing and future enhancement of human life and environment quality. The seminar was held in Yogyakarta, Indonesia, 25-28 June 2013, at the Sheraton Mustika Hotel.

SEMS supports this seminar by presenting 2 papers regarding the use of system dynamics in marketing strategy. The paper was presented by Mr. Irvanu Rahman and Mr. Rama Raditya. It was a successful. We invite you to come for 2015 QiR, planned in August 2015.

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